Courtyard Cup Pack Prints 85% Median After Nov. 1 Odds Retune
By Crypto Wire
November 1, 2026
Courtyard’s limited $49 Basketball Cup Tournament pack — the same vaulted rip this desk opened yesterday with Nov. 1 hold bounties (11821) — is now printing a live pull sample and an early-Sunday odds retune. Independent rip tracker PackAnalyst shows 218 sampled reveals with a typical (median) rip of 85.0% of the $49 pack cost, an average of 101.2% pulled up by jackpots, and only about 24.3% of pulls worth at least the pack price. Separately, PackAnalyst’s Courtyard change history logs a 2026-11-01 04:06 UTC odds edit on the Cup pack: advertised base from 48% to 44% and common from 22% to 26%. That is the new fact for this Phygital chapter — not a rehash of the Oct. 31 launch announce.
What the sample says without inventing a house EV. Against the $49 sticker, PackAnalyst’s bucket table puts about 64.7% of the 218 pulls in the 50–90% return band (141 reveals), about 19.7% near break-even (90–110%, 43), about 11.9% in 110–200% (26), about 3.2% in 200–500% (7), and 0.5% over 500% (1) — with zero samples under 50% of cost in that cut. The desk’s own note calls the pack jackpot-driven: the average sits above the median because a few big hits lift the mean while most rips land below the sticker. No buyback rate is published on that page, so net take-home after any cash-out rail stays unstated.
Advertised vs observed — keep the timestamps honest. PackAnalyst’s Cup page, checked 2026-11-01, still tabulates Courtyard’s advertised tier mix at 48% base / 22% common / 28% uncommon / 1% rare / 1% chase, while observed frequencies in the same 218-pull sample land near 28% / 12.8% / 20.6% / 3.2% / 0.5%. The history log’s 04:06 UTC retune to 44% / 26% for base/common is a separate operator edit on the catalogue — do not mash that later advertised print into the sample table as if they were one frozen sheet. Prefer the history row for the retune clock and the pack page for the pull math.
Custody and bounty context collectors still need. Courtyard’s model keeps graded cards vaulted while ownership moves on-chain; shipping or sell-back is a separate claim path after the rip. Yesterday’s chapter flagged Nov. 1 hold bounties on this Cup pack — this piece does not invent a new bounty payout table. The vending-machine page still shows live “Just Pulled” activity for the Cup SKU, which is atmosphere for the sample, not a substitute for PackAnalyst’s counted reveals. Treat the PackAnalyst sample and the 04:06 UTC odds edit as the Sunday tape, and leave Pawffle’s still-242/3,333 NFC mint and OKXICE’s 50 objections to their own desks.
Why this stays on Phygital rather than a thin marketplace floor wrap. The product is a vaulted, shippable graded-card rip with advertised odds that the operator can retune — custody and redemption rules matter as much as the median percentage. Collectors comparing Cup EV should re-read Courtyard’s current odds after each history tick, then decide whether to hold the token, request shipping, or ignore secondary floor chatter that never touches the slab. A jackpot-driven average above 100% does not make the median rip a break-even machine.
What this piece will not invent: a Courtyard official EV calculator that matches PackAnalyst’s median, a claim that every Cup rip “pays 101%,” or a merged odds sheet that pretends the pre- and post-04:06 UTC advertised mixes are identical. Prefer the history log, the 218-pull buckets, and the prior launch chapter for continuity.
Custody check: Watch whether Courtyard’s next catalogue refresh holds the 44%/26% base/common Cup print, whether PackAnalyst’s sample count climbs past 218 with the median still under sticker, and whether any Nov. 1 hold-bounty claim page posts a dated payout receipt collectors can verify before shipping a vaulted card.
Bottom line: PackAnalyst’s 218-pull Cup sample prints a 85% median against the $49 sticker while Courtyard’s early-Sunday catalogue log retunes advertised base/common odds to 44%/26% — a live tape update past yesterday’s launch chapter.
Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice. The NFT market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals before making any decisions related to digital assets. The cover image for this article may have been created using artificial intelligence (AI).
